Global Capital’s Break With the U.S.
this is a heavy one, in more ways than one.
Here's my best shot at a summary by quote: "For investors, the case is clear. Forward-looking return projections based on income yields, earnings growth and currency dynamics imply materially lower expected returns for US equities than in the past, and significantly higher return potential in emerging markets. Allocating more capital to faster-growing, less-correlated economies offers the prospect of higher long-term returns with lower overall portfolio risk."
"For the global economy, the benefits are broader still. A more balanced allocation of capital reduces global imbalances, lowers systemic fragility, and channels savings toward the parts of the world where the marginal return on capital is highest. It deepens local capital markets, lowers financing costs where they are most binding, creates much-needed jobs, and supports a more resilient development model, boosting overall global growth."